Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.011728 0.014267 0.017477 0.021937 0.028154 0.036806 0.050346
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008319 0.010964 0.014738 0.020815 0.031027 0.049053 0.088110
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.006792 0.009420 0.013478 0.020724 0.034769 0.065138 0.156585
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005943 0.008583 0.012930 0.021410 0.040144 0.089921 0.314101
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005245 0.007806 0.012234 0.021496 0.044329 0.117744 0.643630
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004586 0.006963 0.011210 0.020535 0.045441 0.138640 1.202834
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004127 0.006384 0.010547 0.020129 0.047887 0.170591 2.930430
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003899 0.006175 0.010542 0.021233 0.055841 0.252793 27.100032
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003762 0.006108 0.010801 0.023100 0.068436 0.431888 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003633 0.006033 0.011026 0.024991 0.083793 0.803888 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003404 0.005728 0.010683 0.025116 0.091477 1.230883 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003183 0.005416 0.010268 0.024888 0.097416 1.854212 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002860 0.004891 0.009343 0.022968 0.093051 2.137471 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002609 0.004493 0.008674 0.021763 0.092733 2.900852 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002444 0.004256 0.008357 0.021665 0.100456 5.941393 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002335 0.004123 0.008276 0.022395 0.116716 26.252823 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002212 0.003945 0.008046 0.022486 0.128622 248.181560 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002059 0.003688 0.007574 0.021464 0.127968 2600.232112 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001943 0.003504 0.007268 0.021032 0.133714 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001893 0.003459 0.007332 0.022206 0.163621 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001868 0.003468 0.007547 0.024195 0.218055 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001839 0.003466 0.007734 0.026215 0.293847 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001766 0.003351 0.007566 0.026348 0.331351 NaN NaN